PoliticsResolved
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$20.0K
490 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 156 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $320 is directional: YES $1·NO $318YES Team
Total Invested
$380
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$333(-87.5%)
Whales
8
P
Pure-Threat🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·361 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$357
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-348
$-348INV $357 · WR 82.0%
D
dauyu🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·12 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 75.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·66 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 68.2%
L
Loyal-Aggression
Entry 26¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 61.9%
L
letmeinthetournamentplease
Entry 0¢·1,269.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $1 · WR 56.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 7¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 0¢·264.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 66.4%
D
deezytrading
Entry 0¢·14 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 84.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$577
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+241.9%)
Whales
15
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 94¢·305.4 shares
Invested
$288
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $288 · WR 56.4%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 29¢·632.6 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$435
+$435INV $181 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉hedged
Entry 101¢·66 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $67 · WR 68.2%
D
DenisMarsz
Entry 98¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 86.4%
P
Pure-Threathedged
Entry 2¢·361 shares·also $357 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $7 · WR 82.0%
P
pqgary
Entry 95¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 91.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 1¢·199.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $2 · WR 87.6%
S
Stonktrader◆Proven
Entry 94¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 85.3%
P
paspor
Entry 0¢·182.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $1 · WR 85.8%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 0¢·108.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $0 · WR 85.1%
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