PoliticsResolved
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$54.4K
606 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 193 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs29 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $641 is directional: YES $641·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-98.3%)
Whales
15
S
sciuboi🥇
Entry 41¢·3,007.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-1246
$-1246INV $1.2K · WR 71.5%
R
Ryxon21◆Proven🥈
Entry 31¢·2,062.3 shares
Invested
$641
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-641
$-641INV $641 · WR 71.3%
L
LEONIDOVITCH1983🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·3,038.4 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$636
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-636
$-636INV $636 · WR 81.0%
N
nicoco89hedged
Entry 38¢·1,359.2 shares·also $549 on NO
Invested
$516
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-516
$-516INV $516 · WR 62.6%
H
HLB-377hedged
Entry 35¢·283 shares·also $187 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 63.0%
V
vinii
Entry 4¢·200 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 65.8%
S
seal7hedged
Entry 0¢·279 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 7 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.1K
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.2K(+74.4%)
Whales
29
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥇
Entry 80¢·6,057.5 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$1212
+$1212INV $4.8K · WR 81.6%
L
LEONIDOVITCH1983🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·3,038.4 shares·also $636 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$1664
+$1664INV $1.4K · WR 81.0%
C
Crock95◆Proven🥉
Entry 47¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$941
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1059
+$1059INV $941 · WR 59.7%
N
nicoco89hedged
Entry 40¢·1,359.2 shares·also $516 on YES
Invested
$549
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$810
+$810INV $549 · WR 62.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 68¢·807 shares
Invested
$546
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$261
+$261INV $546 · WR 83.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 37¢·1,163.4 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$729
+$729INV $434 · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 43¢·910.3 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$517
+$517INV $393 · WR 87.6%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 94¢·411.4 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $386 · WR 88.4%
M
mirand◆Proven
Entry 54¢·555 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$254
+$254INV $301 · WR 67.1%
E
Everlasting-Gobstopper
Entry 67¢·400 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $269 · WR 73.8%
Showing top 10 of 29
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