PoliticsResolved
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$9.7K
280 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 107 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
29 MARKETS · $139.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia←
100¢−56¢$9.7K12/15Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia←−56¢100¢
$9.7K12/15
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre
1¢—$400/0Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre—1¢
$400/0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas
97¢−67¢$6.2K8/19Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas−67¢97¢
$6.2K8/19
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá
11¢+2¢$9.4K4/28Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá+2¢11¢
$9.4K4/28
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas
45¢−24¢$22.9K9/33Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas−24¢45¢
$22.9K9/33
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia
97¢−52¢$3.4K5/6Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia−52¢97¢
$3.4K5/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará
97¢−37¢$5383/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará−37¢97¢
$5383/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo
0¢0¢$2.6K0/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo0¢0¢
$2.6K0/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District
0¢0¢$1.6K0/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District0¢0¢
$1.6K0/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás
1¢−1¢$2850/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás−1¢1¢
$2850/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão
97¢−37¢$2.0K6/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão−37¢97¢
$2.0K6/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso
1¢—$4200/0Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso—1¢
$4200/0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul
1¢+32¢$3091/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul+32¢1¢
$3091/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais
3¢−3¢$3.9K0/13Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais−3¢3¢
$3.9K0/13
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará
82¢−47¢$23.3K12/22Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará−47¢82¢
$23.3K12/22
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba
98¢−31¢$1.9K10/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba−31¢98¢
$1.9K10/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná
2¢−2¢$4220/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná−2¢2¢
$4220/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco
98¢−18¢$9644/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco−18¢98¢
$9644/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí
98¢−18¢$1.3K4/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí−18¢98¢
$1.3K4/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro
2¢−2¢$6510/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro−2¢2¢
$6510/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte
98¢−38¢$3.6K9/6Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte−38¢98¢
$3.6K9/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul
1¢−1¢$1.2K0/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul−1¢1¢
$1.2K0/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia
0¢0¢$4080/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia0¢0¢
$4080/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima
1¢+32¢$2.1K2/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima+32¢1¢
$2.1K2/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina
1¢−1¢$8060/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina−1¢1¢
$8060/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo
2¢+7¢$1.3K1/10Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo+7¢2¢
$1.3K1/10
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe
98¢−43¢$3.5K6/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe−43¢98¢
$3.5K6/5
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Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs15 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $1.9K·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+54.0%)
Whales
12
M
Musk5🥇
Entry 98¢·1,743.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.7K · WR 71.9%
S
sdhyky🥈
Entry 51¢·1,866.6 shares
Invested
$960
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$907
+$907INV $960 · WR 59.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 95¢·945.1 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $900 · WR 70.5%
R
Ryxon21◆Proven
Entry 52¢·990.4 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$477
+$477INV $513 · WR 71.3%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 90¢·148.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $133 · WR 75.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 12¢·951.5 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$837
+$837INV $115 · WR 63.4%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 98¢·95 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $93 · WR 72.0%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 22¢·177.1 shares·also $191 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $39 · WR 67.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 99¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 9 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-96.5%)
Whales
15
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·687.1 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-344
$-344INV $344 · WR 79.6%
G
GingerMcKenna🥈
Entry 45¢·724.5 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-324
$-324INV $324 · WR 84.9%
M
merod🥉
Entry 50¢·568 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-284
$-284INV $284 · WR 84.1%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 50¢·518 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $259 · WR 85.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 42¢·500 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $212 · WR 72.2%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 108¢·177.1 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$191
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-191
$-191INV $191 · WR 67.3%
K
korda77
Entry 28¢·589.5 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $166 · WR 85.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·240 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 87.7%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·207 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $104 · WR 88.1%
P
politeste
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
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