PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$109.4K
2,854 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 401 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs71 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.0K·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-83.6%)
Whales
25
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇
Entry 28¢·2,166.7 shares
Invested
$603
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-602
$-602INV $603 · WR 57.9%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈
Entry 16¢·1,219.5 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $191 · WR 67.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 9¢·1,025.5 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $88 · WR 79.6%
Y
Yearly-Skating
Entry 29¢·269.6 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 55.6%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 9¢·659 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 59.7%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 4¢·1,397.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 66.4%
M
mantou11
Entry 7¢·274.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 56.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 2¢·730.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 69.2%
E
Edje25
Entry 1¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 59.7%
K
kroko
Entry 0¢·3,456.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$32.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$27.5K(+85.9%)
Whales
71
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 41¢·17,435.4 shares
Invested
$7.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$10309
+$10309INV $7.1K · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 53¢·12,284.4 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5835
+$5835INV $6.4K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 31¢·8,107.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$5581
+$5581INV $2.5K · WR 72.2%
C
conherence
Entry 99¢·2,174.7 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $2.2K · WR 58.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 66¢·3,171.6 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1085
+$1085INV $2.1K · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 38¢·4,696.7 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2935
+$2935INV $1.8K · WR 85.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 56¢·1,729.3 shares
Invested
$975
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$755
+$755INV $975 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 91¢·1,033.8 shares
Invested
$941
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $941 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 52¢·1,662.1 shares
Invested
$864
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$798
+$798INV $864 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 95¢·564.3 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $537 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 71
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1120ms