PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$74.7K
885 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 205 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs37 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $400·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-98.8%)
Whales
11
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 26¢·2,098.3 shares
Invested
$538
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-538
$-538INV $538 · WR 55.6%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·846.3 shares·also $8.1K on NO
Invested
$216
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $216 · WR 72.0%
Z
zumbizera10🥉
Entry 19¢·1,143.4 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $212 · WR 58.3%
R
reydelas
Entry 25¢·695 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $172 · WR 80.0%
B
Barkshire-Hathaway◆Proven
Entry 14¢·999 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $140 · WR 66.2%
S
StarMaster◆Proven
Entry 32¢·300 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $97 · WR 55.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 12¢·628 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $75 · WR 70.3%
B
BeginnersLuck2
Entry 15¢·100 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 93.0%
K
Kabex
Entry 9¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 7¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 82.2%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.0K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.1K(+25.5%)
Whales
37
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·9,914.6 shares·also $216 on YES
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1807
+$1807INV $8.1K · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 90¢·3,052.8 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$290
+$290INV $2.8K · WR 86.0%
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥉
Entry 70¢·3,431.8 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$1030
+$1030INV $2.4K · WR 65.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 90¢·2,012.5 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$208
+$208INV $1.8K · WR 69.6%
U
ultimateunicorn
Entry 77¢·1,350.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$312
+$312INV $1.0K · WR 72.2%
J
jpceia
Entry 94¢·892.6 shares
Invested
$839
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $839 · WR 86.7%
T
themagicofcinema◆Proven
Entry 100¢·395 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $395 · WR 72.4%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 94¢·307.6 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $289 · WR 88.1%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 83¢·318.9 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $264 · WR 60.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 70¢·330 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $233 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 37
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