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Sports42 days left

Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$7.5K
187 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 74 traders

Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

14 MARKETS · $73.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs4 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$614+16 new NO$600
$570 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $887 is directional: YES $34·NO $853
YES Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-10.3%)
Whales
4
S
sasha585🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·111.9 shares·also $73 on NO
$-17INV $69 · WR 61.2%
A
Askeladd.🥈
Entry 41¢·80.8 shares
+$5INV $33 · WR 56.9%
B
BAO95889🥉
Entry 48¢·30 shares
$-0INV $14 · WR 58.1%
5
0x5b2704b7...
Entry 35¢·2.9 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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