139 days left
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$7.3K
168 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 95 traders · 1 on both sides
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner
11 MARKETS · $17.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
"Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights
0¢+17¢$6761/5"Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights+17¢0¢
$6761/5
"How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad
0¢0¢$5490/6"How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad0¢0¢
$5490/6
"I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5
13¢+4¢$1.3K1/5"I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5+4¢13¢
$1.3K1/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+43 new YES$2.1K+36 new NO$2.4K
$2.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$24 of $100 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+10.9%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 78¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $20 · WR 58.9%
K
KiruaTrading🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·20 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 61.8%
S
Sunshineandpoggy🥉
Entry 32¢·32.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 61.2%
F
Faston
Entry 35¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 56.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$314
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+3.5%)
Whales
9
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 40¢·150 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $60 · WR 87.6%
J
jimmer-fredette🥈
Entry 46¢·128 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $59 · WR 57.7%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 65¢·85 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $55 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 34¢·125.5 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $43 · WR 79.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 41¢·75 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $31 · WR 89.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 84.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 63¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $22 · WR 79.6%
K
KiruaTradinghedged
Entry 59¢·20 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 61.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 32¢·27.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 88.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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