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Sports66 days left

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
88¢
88% implied
NO Price
12¢
12% implied
Volume
$19.1K
237 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 66 traders

Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026

23 MARKETS · $288.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$8.0K+38 new NO$1.9K
$223 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $20·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-0.5%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 88¢·2,608.8 shares
$-19INV $2.3K · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 88¢·1,269.4 shares
$-5INV $1.1K · WR 69.6%
T
thekleenex🥉
Entry 85¢·43.1 shares
+$1INV $37 · WR 62.1%
C
CypyaProven
Entry 59¢·34 shares
+$7INV $20 · WR 80.7%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 85¢·13.3 shares
+$0INV $11 · WR 77.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2…