PoliticsResolved
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$12.4K
293 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 114 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs26 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.1K is directional: YES $12·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+115.2%)
Whales
8
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·6,594.8 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$3306
+$3306INV $3.3K · WR 63.4%
M
mrworldwide🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·1,747.3 shares·also $386 on NO
Invested
$627
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1121
+$1121INV $627 · WR 76.3%
P
poljdnn17🥉hedged
Entry 77¢·155 shares·also $87 on NO
Invested
$120
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $120 · WR 86.8%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER
Entry 33¢·303 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$204
+$204INV $99 · WR 67.0%
P
pilipro3
Entry 5¢·122.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $6 · WR 71.2%
P
Pretty-Seaplane
Entry 50¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 62.1%
A
Antony82
Entry 17¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-99.4%)
Whales
26
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥇
Entry 93¢·3,287 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-3057
$-3057INV $3.1K · WR 55.0%
M
mrworldwide🥈hedged
Entry 255¢·151.3 shares·also $627 on YES
Invested
$386
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-386
$-386INV $386 · WR 76.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 84¢·440.4 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-370
$-370INV $370 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 73¢·170 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $124 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 86¢·120 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $103 · WR 88.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 56¢·177.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $99 · WR 79.2%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 48¢·180 shares·also $120 on YES
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $87 · WR 86.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 52¢·165 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 85.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 53¢·120 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 26
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