YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$19.5K
508 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 140 traders
Turner Prize 2026 Winner
4 MARKETS · $63.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026←
25¢+6¢$19.5K8/18Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026←+6¢25¢
$19.5K8/18
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026
24¢0¢$10.8K5/16Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 20260¢24¢
$10.8K5/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs18 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$324+10 new NO$614
$296 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $141 is directional: YES $123·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$814
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$464(-57.0%)
Whales
8
K
KnowsAllOfIt🥇hedged
Entry 105¢·242 shares·also $229 on NO
Invested
$254
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $254 · WR 65.5%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 97¢·250.5 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $243 · WR 64.5%
F
FrozenParasite🥉hedged
Entry 89¢·210.1 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$186
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $186 · WR 56.9%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 30¢·172.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $51 · WR 64.1%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER
Entry 12¢·276.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $33 · WR 64.7%
G
GirlOnFire
Entry 25¢·100 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 64.3%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 23¢·60 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 72.3%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 17¢·49.7 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 92.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$608(+33.0%)
Whales
18
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·1,766.4 shares
Invested
$915
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$410
+$410INV $915 · WR 81.9%
K
KnowsAllOfIt🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·247 shares·also $254 on YES
Invested
$229
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $229 · WR 65.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 75¢·223.7 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $167 · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $100 · WR 79.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 52¢·177.2 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $92 · WR 88.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $85 · WR 88.7%
F
FrozenParasitehedged
Entry 37¢·202.1 shares·also $186 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $75 · WR 56.9%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 72¢·49.7 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $36 · WR 92.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·54.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $27 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 67¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 18
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