PoliticsResolved
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$9.6K
150 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 72 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs17 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-96.5%)
Whales
8
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 21¢·49.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 74.6%
B
Bunter.Hiden🥈
Entry 35¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 60.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·500 shares·also $499 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 57.7%
B
0xb99988b7...
Entry 40¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.3%
D
0xd4e8d484...
Entry 40¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.3%
F
0xfb7fdd0f...
Entry 40¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.6%
2
2025-uuuhedged
Entry 0¢·500 shares·also $499 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.4%
E
eooaaa
Entry 0¢·454.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$754(+35.6%)
Whales
17
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·500 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$499
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $499 · WR 57.7%
2
2025-uuu🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·500 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$499
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $499 · WR 85.4%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 100¢·280.1 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $280 · WR 79.6%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 88¢·260 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $230 · WR 87.0%
M
Motionless-Feedback
Entry 81¢·274.4 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $222 · WR 86.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $75 · WR 88.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 100¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $75 · WR 59.6%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 100¢·49 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $49 · WR 59.9%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 95¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $48 · WR 72.0%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 100¢·47 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 59.8%
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