PoliticsResolved
Will José Cardoso win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$117.9K
800 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 94 traders
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs19 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $253 is directional: YES $253·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$353
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$353(-100.0%)
Whales
4
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥇
Entry 1¢·20,741.6 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $253 · WR 81.6%
K
Khameir🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·100 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $100 · WR 59.7%
M
Meaty-Pseudoscience🥉
Entry 0¢·28 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 80.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 0¢·21,971 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 83.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$722
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.1K(+2086.3%)
Whales
19
F
Fermatter🥇
Entry 78¢·900 shares
Invested
$700
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $700 · WR 75.3%
U
untaken◆Proven🥈
Entry 1¢·1,076.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$1069
+$1069INV $8 · WR 91.3%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 0¢·7,297.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7290
+$7290INV $8 · WR 85.8%
R
rated
Entry 0¢·3,601 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3597
+$3597INV $4 · WR 87.7%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 0¢·1,776.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1774
+$1774INV $2 · WR 87.6%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 0¢·273.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$273
+$273INV $0 · WR 89.0%
S
shine
Entry 0¢·281.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $0 · WR 89.3%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 0¢·163.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $0 · WR 88.4%
K
Khameirhedged
Entry 0¢·100 shares·also $100 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $0 · WR 59.7%
Y
yzhaobk
Entry 0¢·93.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $0 · WR 87.9%
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