PoliticsResolved
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$17.7K
547 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 175 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs14 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $39 is directional: YES $6·NO $33YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+281.1%)
Whales
11
L
Loyal-Aggression🥇
Entry 17¢·22.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 61.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥈
Entry 4¢·84.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 68.2%
A
archaic🥉
Entry 3¢·80 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 86.8%
L
letmeinthetournamentplease
Entry 0¢·2,012.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $2 · WR 56.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 7¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 0¢·954.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1 · WR 66.4%
T
Tysha
Entry 3¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 89.2%
W
wi6andrehedged
Entry 7¢·4 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 91.7%
M
marthaboohedged
Entry 7¢·3.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.5%
J
jtidahedged
Entry 6¢·3.4 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.5%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
87.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+2061.9%)
Whales
14
G
gpunfv1🥇
Entry 93¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 93.8%
M
MrAndMsClaude🥈
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 61.7%
B
balerinacapuchina🥉
Entry 93¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 70.5%
A
anonum
Entry 93¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 87.4%
W
wi6andrehedged
Entry 97¢·4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 91.7%
J
jtidahedged
Entry 96¢·3.4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 86.5%
M
marthaboohedged
Entry 97¢·3.2 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 87.5%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 0¢·632.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$618
+$618INV $3 · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 0¢·221.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$217
+$217INV $1 · WR 87.6%
P
paspor
Entry 0¢·182.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $0 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
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