YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$38.1K
761 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 244 traders
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
28 MARKETS · $332.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs39 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 44¢
YES 26%NO 74%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 44¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 5 · 3
YES 5NO 3one dot = one wallet
5 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 34h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $2.0K·NO $170YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$144(-7.1%)
Whales
14
C
cat-dog◆Proven🥇
Entry 51¢·2,705.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $1.4K · WR 80.6%
D
doil🥈
Entry 44¢·831.6 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $364 · WR 72.7%
J
jimmer-fredette🥉
Entry 29¢·229.4 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $67 · WR 57.7%
D
0xd4eb89f8...
Entry 54¢·123.8 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $67 · WR 60.8%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $40 · WR 68.8%
E
0xe636f179...
Entry 22¢·165.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $37 · WR 58.8%
D
Denker79
Entry 49¢·41.5 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $21 · WR 80.4%
S
starziu
Entry 54¢·38 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 61.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 46¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 68.1%
S
Sad-West-Patrimony
Entry 54¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 73.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$503(+14.4%)
Whales
39
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 60¢·1,195.8 shares
Invested
$716
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $716 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 59¢·839 shares
Invested
$494
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $494 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 58¢·660.8 shares
Invested
$384
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $384 · WR 87.4%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 14¢·1,643.3 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$687
+$687INV $234 · WR 83.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 64¢·283 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $180 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 67¢·245 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $165 · WR 89.0%
M
mariacryptoss
Entry 73¢·209.9 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $153 · WR 63.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 70¢·154 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $107 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 85¢·112.9 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $96 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 76¢·100 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $76 · WR 88.5%
Showing top 10 of 39
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 41ms