GeopoliticsResolved
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$55.8K
563 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 156 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs23 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $123 is directional: YES $123·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$499
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$493(-98.7%)
Whales
10
S
ScottyNooo🥇hedged
Entry 5¢·6,759.5 shares·also $8.9K on NO
Invested
$306
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-306
$-306INV $306 · WR 56.0%
P
Porx🥈
Entry 5¢·2,292.3 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $123 · WR 65.9%
B
Burlak🥉hedged
Entry 5¢·501.7 shares·also $491 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 86.7%
E
ErgodicEntropy
Entry 5¢·310 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 64.0%
C
Colala
Entry 6¢·154.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.8%
B
Boggis-Bunce-Bean
Entry 7¢·122.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 55.3%
F
Fickle-Halt-Windowhedged
Entry 3¢·205.3 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 58.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 4¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 8 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.5K(+46.0%)
Whales
23
S
ScottyNooo🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·8,977.5 shares·also $306 on YES
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $8.9K · WR 56.0%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 90¢·3,317.3 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$327
+$327INV $3.0K · WR 90.9%
P
Passionate-Left🥉
Entry 96¢·546 shares
Invested
$526
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $526 · WR 92.9%
B
Burlakhedged
Entry 98¢·501.8 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$491
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $491 · WR 86.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 4¢·6,180.9 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$5935
+$5935INV $246 · WR 57.7%
U
undersoless
Entry 96¢·240 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $231 · WR 58.5%
1
1337predictor
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 72.3%
C
Compound-57
Entry 75¢·115.6 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $86 · WR 73.4%
C
candy-step
Entry 95¢·72 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $68 · WR 100.0%
U
uncle-stepa
Entry 95¢·69.3 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $66 · WR 100.0%
Showing top 10 of 23
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