Politics138 days left
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$7.9K
179 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 76 traders
JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?
2 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 16¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 16¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
$221
$947
+8 new YES+16 new NO · 1 smart whale
$200 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 1h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $254·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$254
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-7.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+3.1%)
Whales
5
S
StarMaster◆Proven🥇
Entry 76¢·600 shares
Invested
$456
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $456 · WR 55.2%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 75¢·500 shares
Invested
$374
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $374 · WR 64.4%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 76¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $101 · WR 61.4%
O
Olcan
Entry 74¢·100 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $74 · WR 76.5%
O
opus28
Entry 84¢·48 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $40 · WR 79.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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