PoliticsResolved
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.3K
653 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 183 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $2.3K·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-97.1%)
Whales
7
M
MSFTQQQ🥇
Entry 73¢·3,074.6 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-2154
$-2154INV $2.2K · WR 84.6%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈hedged
Entry 53¢·605 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$322
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-322
$-322INV $322 · WR 67.3%
A
arkd1ch🥉
Entry 77¢·150 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $115 · WR 68.9%
D
doitwise
Entry 64¢·163.5 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $104 · WR 59.5%
R
RedFoxxie
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.9%
X
xwz520hedged
Entry 40¢·15 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 84.3%
B
beatrix99
Entry 75¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 81.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$923
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$783(+84.8%)
Whales
19
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·605 shares·also $322 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $500 · WR 67.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·361 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$182
+$182INV $179 · WR 85.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 24¢·255.3 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $61 · WR 70.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 36¢·113.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $41 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 27¢·59.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $16 · WR 86.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 25¢·50 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $13 · WR 84.5%
X
xwz520hedged
Entry 72¢·15 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 84.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 47¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 88.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 36¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $9 · WR 79.2%
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