Sports48 days left
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$137.1K
662 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 165 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 MARKETS · $1.02M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs43 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.9¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.9¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $53 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $49·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-72.4%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 5¢·446.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $23 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 5¢·213.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 79.2%
A
Anon321321🥉
Entry 4¢·167.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 86.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 5¢·67 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 60.4%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 3¢·101 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 89.5%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 5¢·25 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 83.5%
C
caviaro
Entry 0¢·555.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 65.6%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 0¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 80.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 0¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+63.6%)
Whales
43
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 99¢·674 shares
Invested
$669
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $669 · WR 70.1%
P
products🥈
Entry 100¢·563.6 shares
Invested
$562
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $562 · WR 85.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 100¢·364 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $363 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·325 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $325 · WR 89.0%
I
i18z
Entry 100¢·235.9 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $235 · WR 86.9%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 38¢·507.9 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$312
+$312INV $191 · WR 85.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·163 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $163 · WR 87.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·160 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $160 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·157 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $157 · WR 86.1%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 100¢·124.6 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $124 · WR 87.0%
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