Politics238 days left
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
YES Price
80¢
80% implied
NO Price
20¢
20% implied
Volume
$16.7K
637 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 151 traders
Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
21 MARKETS · $45.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs12 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$25+5 new NO$77
$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $518 is directional: YES $487·NO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$584
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$994(+170.3%)
Whales
9
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 59¢·728.7 shares
Invested
$432
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $432 · WR 56.4%
C
catalanpaths🥈hedged
Entry 65¢·148.6 shares·also $42 on NO
Invested
$96
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $96 · WR 66.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 84¢·35.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $30 · WR 68.2%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 2¢·1,029.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$800
+$800INV $18 · WR 63.4%
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $4 · WR 80.6%
6
0x6288e13f...
Entry 81¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.3%
C
CryptoBilochka
Entry 42¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 59.1%
E
0xe7e98d51...hedged
Entry 37¢·2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 2¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$363
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$175(-48.3%)
Whales
12
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 36¢·470 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $169 · WR 87.7%
J
Jovial-Remains-Scarf🥈
Entry 78¢·90 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $70 · WR 90.4%
C
catalanpaths🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·88.7 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $42 · WR 66.4%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 34¢·78.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $27 · WR 84.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 21¢·85 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 85.7%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $12 · WR 82.7%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 24¢·35 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 85.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 79.2%
G
gajistan
Entry 27¢·18.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 70.8%
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