Politics778 days left
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$6.6K
171 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 89 traders
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
25 MARKETS · $32.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 42¢
YES 7%NO 93%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 42¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
$121
$146
+9 new YES+11 new NO · 2 smart whales
$137 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 2
YES 2NO 2one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $98 is directional: YES $0·NO $98YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+72.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$424
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-12.4%)
Whales
14
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·126.5 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $100 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 77¢·106.7 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $83 · WR 71.9%
�
💰💰◆Proven🥉
Entry 39¢·140 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $55 · WR 57.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 79¢·60 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $47 · WR 86.1%
N
nijikaijichi
Entry 73¢·50 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $36 · WR 77.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 80¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $32 · WR 88.6%
A
anothercoin
Entry 95¢·31.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $30 · WR 84.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 88¢·26 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $23 · WR 87.7%
T
Tempting-Representation-Butter
Entry 42¢·18 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
97.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 97.1%
F
Female-Tailbud◆Proven
Entry 73¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 55.6%
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