GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$29.7K
1,058 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 379 traders
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs11 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$480(+22.7%)
Whales
24
O
okada🥇
Entry 94¢·720 shares
Invested
$674
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $674 · WR 78.8%
D
0xd7b9866c...🥈
Entry 84¢·592.1 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $495 · WR 60.0%
G
Giddy-Plywood🥉
Entry 63¢·350 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $220 · WR 100.0%
A
Adam96
Entry 95¢·211.1 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $200 · WR 67.2%
W
Witty-Surprise
Entry 97¢·206.3 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $200 · WR 82.1%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 87¢·134.9 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $118 · WR 59.5%
5
5atka
Entry 84¢·100 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $84 · WR 57.1%
A
aiqnu3487rKYKW
Entry 99¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 100.0%
N
Noteworthy-Blazer
Entry 86¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $23 · WR 71.6%
P
Pure-Basketball
Entry 99¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$394
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$393(-99.8%)
Whales
11
J
JoshuaTree🥇
Entry 54¢·323.6 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-173
$-173INV $173 · WR 57.9%
I
invers🥈
Entry 13¢·840.3 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $110 · WR 73.8%
G
Gray-Promenade🥉
Entry 21¢·243.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 72.6%
T
tonshi
Entry 27¢·100 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 61.4%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 10¢·190.6 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 59.5%
D
0xd7864bf7...
Entry 14¢·36.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 62.3%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 19¢·19.3 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 57.3%
P
projectparrot
Entry 6¢·44.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 55.5%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 14¢·15.6 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.8%
B
Burdensome-Accusation
Entry 7¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
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