GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$73.2K
667 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 229 traders
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs9 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$183(+4.8%)
Whales
19
C
CryptonianKalEl🥇
Entry 100¢·2,006.9 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2.0K · WR 79.5%
M
melganis◆Proven🥈
Entry 96¢·641.7 shares
Invested
$618
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $618 · WR 75.9%
C
Car🥉
Entry 97¢·469.3 shares
Invested
$456
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $456 · WR 64.9%
K
Kalags
Entry 96¢·350 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $337 · WR 60.3%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 64¢·287.5 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $184 · WR 56.3%
D
DieterHanswurst
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $98 · WR 56.3%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 89¢·54.5 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $49 · WR 59.5%
I
insaider-v2
Entry 98¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 71.1%
X
xtotentanz
Entry 90¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 72.2%
I
IceWindL
Entry 431¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $15 · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$436
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$436(-100.0%)
Whales
9
L
lakenovass🥇
Entry 3¢·3,950 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $134 · WR 63.2%
V
vaccinejl🥈
Entry 4¢·3,100 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $123 · WR 59.5%
H
hbnva🥉
Entry 4¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $110 · WR 55.4%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 4¢·628 shares·also $184 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 56.3%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 10¢·201.1 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 59.5%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 38¢·20 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.8%
M
MiniTiger
Entry 0¢·7,000 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 56.9%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 15¢·35.3 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 66.9%
B
Burdensome-Accusation
Entry 6¢·28 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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