Resolved
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$8.2K
433 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 137 traders
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6 MARKETS · $23.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours←
100¢−59¢$8.2K9/13Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours←−59¢100¢
$8.2K9/13
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour
2¢−2¢$1.9K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour−2¢2¢
$1.9K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours
3¢−3¢$1.1K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours−3¢3¢
$1.1K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours
50¢+10¢$4.6K6/4Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours+10¢50¢
$4.6K6/4
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs13 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$497(+30.4%)
Whales
9
M
MonkeyBrains123🥇
Entry 91¢·1,147.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $1.0K · WR 60.8%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥈
Entry 86¢·342.1 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $296 · WR 72.9%
B
BigAII🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·300.5 shares·also $464 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $150 · WR 70.9%
S
Seutervoinen◆Proven
Entry 74¢·120.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $90 · WR 91.4%
A
0xab808c78...
Entry 90¢·23.9 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 61.2%
L
LLLLLukeehedged
Entry 78¢·25.8 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 87.1%
B
burto95
Entry 91¢·11 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 82.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 3¢·137.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $4 · WR 57.7%
S
ssecondooption
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $2 · WR 64.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-100.0%)
Whales
13
B
BigAII🥇hedged
Entry 145¢·319.3 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$464
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-464
$-464INV $464 · WR 70.9%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥈
Entry 69¢·632.2 shares
Invested
$439
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-439
$-439INV $439 · WR 59.0%
L
LLLLLukee🥉hedged
Entry 144¢·25.8 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 87.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 10¢·208.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 17¢·120 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 85.7%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 84.4%
E
0xeafa4bde...
Entry 54¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 13¢·30 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 89.3%
A
Anon321321
Entry 30¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 86.3%
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