GeopoliticsResolved
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$201.8K
1,968 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 533 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
2 MARKETS · $201.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs36 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $45 is directional: YES $45·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$333
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$333(-100.0%)
Whales
6
M
mombil◆Proven🥇
Entry 2¢·6,604.4 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $157 · WR 60.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥈hedged
Entry 5¢·2,355 shares·also $284 on NO
Invested
$129
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $129 · WR 56.0%
P
Practicemakeperfect🥉
Entry 4¢·1,099.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 57.1%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 1¢·85 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
A
Altergora
Entry 1¢·111.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.2%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 0¢·193.5 shares·also $886 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.2K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$751(+3.7%)
Whales
36
K
k00pa🥇
Entry 99¢·3,892.4 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $3.8K · WR 72.0%
T
toufik-la-moula🥈
Entry 99¢·3,649.9 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $3.6K · WR 91.4%
C
CJZlee🥉
Entry 96¢·2,700 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $2.6K · WR 73.8%
N
notssf3
Entry 98¢·1,960 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1.9K · WR 60.9%
B
botr
Entry 97¢·1,571.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $1.5K · WR 71.4%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 99¢·1,192.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.2K · WR 90.8%
M
Mardoxyz
Entry 97¢·1,006.2 shares
Invested
$980
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $980 · WR 84.2%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 90¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $900 · WR 70.2%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 93¢·955.4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$886
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $886 · WR 56.3%
E
ED99999
Entry 99¢·419.1 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $416 · WR 73.6%
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