Politics13 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$133.5K
1,371 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 278 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $617.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs46 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$8.7K+45 new NO$9.3K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.1K is directional: YES $7.4K·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+24.9%)
Whales
21
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 40¢·12,669.1 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1186
+$1186INV $5.1K · WR 77.3%
S
sdhyky🥈
Entry 42¢·3,000.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $1.3K · WR 59.4%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥉
Entry 45¢·1,200.2 shares
Invested
$541
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $541 · WR 57.9%
C
Caring-Mini
Entry 43¢·476.2 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $205 · WR 90.0%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 39¢·420 shares·also $172 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $163 · WR 61.7%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 11¢·500 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $56 · WR 81.2%
S
Sturdy-Thrush
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 74.1%
U
UN-Sure◆Proven
Entry 39¢·124 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $48 · WR 91.2%
G
gcersosimo
Entry 51¢·60 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 72.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 11¢·212 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $24 · WR 75.8%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$24.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$528(-2.2%)
Whales
46
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 52¢·22,204.5 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-408
$-408INV $11.6K · WR 72.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 50¢·8,300.8 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $4.2K · WR 85.8%
F
Flipadelphia🥉
Entry 50¢·5,171.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $2.6K · WR 56.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 53¢·1,402.7 shares
Invested
$744
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $744 · WR 85.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 52¢·1,310.2 shares
Invested
$681
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $681 · WR 75.7%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 52¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$520
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $520 · WR 56.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 57¢·621.7 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $351 · WR 79.6%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 54¢·511 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $277 · WR 55.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 63¢·379.1 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $240 · WR 86.0%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 41¢·420 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$172
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $172 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 46
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