Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$13.5K
253 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 125 traders · 1 on both sides
How many Mexico border seats will Dems win in the house?
3 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections
0¢+11¢$3.0K2/16Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections+11¢0¢
$3.0K2/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs19 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.9K+18 new NO$197
$363 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $903 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $829·NO $72YES Team
Total Invested
$830
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$634(+76.5%)
Whales
6
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 42¢·1,358.8 shares
Invested
$568
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$627
+$627INV $568 · WR 66.2%
J
johnpudricion🥈
Entry 99¢·234.2 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
95.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $232 · WR 95.5%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 33¢·40 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $13 · WR 80.4%
A
0xabb9d267...
Entry 68¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 64.6%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 33¢·10.1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 39¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 88.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$299
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$271(-90.7%)
Whales
19
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 55¢·170 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $94 · WR 89.2%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon🥈
Entry 23¢·196.3 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $44 · WR 60.3%
E
estoicc🥉
Entry 30¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $40 · WR 56.3%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 20¢·160.9 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $32 · WR 60.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 19¢·91.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 88.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 23¢·50.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 60.2%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 23¢·41.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 60.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 56¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 84.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 20¢·34.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 60.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 34¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 86.2%
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