Politics11 days left
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$6.2K
210 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 78 traders
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $24.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%
+1 new YES$5+1 new NO$20
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $0·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-86.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$112
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+33.8%)
Whales
11
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 58¢·103.1 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $60 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 85¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 79.6%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 86.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 86.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 80¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 75.6%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 78.0%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 82¢·3.2 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 62.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 83.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 23¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 88.7%
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