PoliticsResolved
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$21.8K
411 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 145 traders
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs36 NO
97%
97% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $379 is directional: YES $4·NO $374YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-100.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$147(+6.7%)
Whales
36
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 100¢·1,098.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1.1K · WR 87.7%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥈
Entry 99¢·349.4 shares
Invested
$347
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $347 · WR 76.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 100¢·335.2 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $334 · WR 68.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·100 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $100 · WR 72.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·74.2 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $74 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $60 · WR 89.0%
A
Anon321321
Entry 31¢·169.3 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $52 · WR 86.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 73¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $24 · WR 85.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 94¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 59.6%
M
Mundane-Airbag
Entry 99¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.9%
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