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Sports49 days left

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$856.2K
4,866 trades
Smart Whales
155
of 800 traders · 7 on both sides

Pro Baseball: 2026 American League Champion

2 MARKETS · $1.34M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

54 YESvs108 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 34 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$2.9K+15 new NO$3.1K
$518 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$164 of $4.1K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $2.1K·NO $1.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$22.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-6.1%)
Whales
54
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·4,759 shares·also $1.7K on NO
$-1204INV $3.0K · WR 55.3%
O
onlyinvegas🥈hedged
Entry 18¢·10,635.1 shares·also $80 on NO
+$2175INV $1.9K · WR 64.6%
E
earth-sweet🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·1,944 shares·also $115 on NO
$-1093INV $1.8K · WR 73.7%
B
bonusHurthedged
Entry 93¢·1,889 shares·also $111 on NO
$-1063INV $1.8K · WR 81.0%
C
crisp415hedged
Entry 93¢·1,680 shares·also $104 on NO
$-937INV $1.6K · WR 78.9%
H
Hold-Castlehedged
Entry 92¢·1,417 shares·also $102 on NO
$-783INV $1.3K · WR 60.9%
W
widthfp78hedged
Entry 95¢·1,372 shares·also $69 on NO
$-794INV $1.3K · WR 61.9%
D
devote171hedged
Entry 92¢·1,380 shares·also $99 on NO
$-762INV $1.3K · WR 79.2%
L
laughDiaryhedged
Entry 92¢·1,358 shares·also $98 on NO
$-750INV $1.3K · WR 75.0%
1
0x19e74fbc766b80aaff639c5e18bcc86b979050f0
Entry 6¢·2,810.4 shares
+$916INV $170 · WR 96.9%
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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Cleveland Guardians win the 2026…