YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$9.1K
279 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 119 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?
5 MARKETS · $18.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026←
72¢−66¢$9.1K1/15Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026←−66¢72¢
$9.1K1/15
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026
25¢−5¢$5.8K3/12Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026−5¢25¢
$5.8K3/12
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in November 2026
1¢−1¢$1.6K0/13Will Claude go down 8-10 times in November 2026−1¢1¢
$1.6K0/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 72¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 72¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
$1.3K
$657
+26 new YES · 1 smart whale+41 new NO · 4 smart whales
$659 bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $135 is directional: YES $5·NO $130YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+100.5%)
Whales
4
O
ordnex2🥇
Entry 75¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 66.7%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 80.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 20¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 71.9%
L
LabEma
Entry 83¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 90.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$271
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$86(-31.9%)
Whales
17
M
ms1910◆Proven🥇
Entry 41¢·295.4 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $121 · WR 56.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 39¢·85.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $33 · WR 87.7%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 62¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 72.0%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 71¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $14 · WR 78.0%
A
alex20011
Entry 34¢·41.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 74.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 34¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 86.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 34¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 87.7%
K
klli27
Entry 34¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 81.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 44¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 44¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 66.8%
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