PoliticsResolved
Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$12.4K
547 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 136 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs23 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $146 is directional: YES $124·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$718
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$713(-99.4%)
Whales
10
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 138¢·167.5 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$232
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-232
$-232INV $232 · WR 67.3%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 48¢·451.6 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $215 · WR 56.4%
K
KiernanMeister🥉hedged
Entry 361¢·37.6 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$136
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $136 · WR 63.4%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 29¢·216 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $62 · WR 66.4%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 38¢·154 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 73.2%
T
tminus
Entry 36¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 57.0%
6
0x6288e13f...
Entry 44¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 33¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 2¢·14 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$882(+84.3%)
Whales
23
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 57¢·427.1 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $242 · WR 79.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 50¢·396.7 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $197 · WR 55.3%
K
KiernanMeister🥉hedged
Entry 258¢·48.8 shares·also $136 on YES
Invested
$126
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $126 · WR 63.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 58¢·180 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $105 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 62¢·167 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $104 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 54¢·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $54 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 44¢·99 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $43 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 42¢·80 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $34 · WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 39¢·84.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $33 · WR 86.0%
R
runechiters
Entry 68¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 61.5%
Showing top 10 of 23
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