Geopolitics2 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?
YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$16.8K
845 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 196 traders
September Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
0¢+10¢$1.4K2/19by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+10¢0¢
$1.4K2/19
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
1¢+10¢$1.6K2/16by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+10¢1¢
$1.6K2/16
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
14¢−2¢$15.9K3/23by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026−2¢14¢
$15.9K3/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs26 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 54%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$73+3 new NO$69
$88 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $387 is directional: YES $354·NO $33YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$101(-6.5%)
Whales
11
F
FrozenParasite🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·1,705.6 shares·also $684 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $1.1K · WR 56.4%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥈
Entry 41¢·802 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $329 · WR 55.0%
C
CopyMEyouwillwin🥉
Entry 43¢·197.7 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $85 · WR 70.0%
7
0x715728b2...hedged
Entry 64¢·15 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 56.4%
P
Pointed-Pomegranate
Entry 42¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 72.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 59¢·11.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 68.2%
H
hamid1919
Entry 62¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 75.9%
R
RedFoxxie
Entry 25¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 · WR 56.9%
F
firegold
Entry 54¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 59.7%
O
ofmain
Entry 63¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$70(-4.3%)
Whales
26
F
FrozenParasite🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·1,288.1 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$684
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $684 · WR 56.4%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥈
Entry 61¢·555 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $339 · WR 58.8%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled🥉
Entry 50¢·199.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $100 · WR 79.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 32¢·270 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $87 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 57¢·140 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $80 · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 26¢·203 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $54 · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 44¢·109.3 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $49 · WR 72.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 47¢·88.3 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $41 · WR 89.0%
R
RicksLaser
Entry 41¢·75 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $31 · WR 55.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·58.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 26
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1007ms