Geopolitics2 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$4.7K
340 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 106 traders
September Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $40.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
0¢+10¢$1.4K2/19by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+10¢0¢
$1.4K2/19
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
1¢+10¢$1.6K2/16by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026+10¢1¢
$1.6K2/16
by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026
13¢−1¢$15.9K3/23by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026−1¢13¢
$15.9K3/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$55+7 new NO$180
$23 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $81 is directional: YES $64·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+10.6%)
Whales
8
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 48¢·262.4 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $126 · WR 63.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 10¢·360.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $36 · WR 56.4%
6
0x6288e13f...🥉
Entry 16¢·157.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $25 · WR 55.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 83¢·20 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 55.3%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 13¢·33 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 58.8%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 20¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$883
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$261(+29.5%)
Whales
24
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 54¢·376 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $202 · WR 85.7%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 74¢·218.8 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $161 · WR 69.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 49¢·270 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $132 · WR 85.9%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·199.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $100 · WR 85.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $85 · WR 86.0%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $45 · WR 84.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 51¢·73.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $38 · WR 79.2%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 84.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 32¢·50 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $16 · WR 84.5%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 85¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 24
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