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Geopolitics86 days left

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$5.4K
182 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 83 traders

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

9 MARKETS · $26.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs18 NO
95%
95% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$128+9 new NO$113
$120 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $791·NO $272
YES Team
Total Invested
$791
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$30(-3.7%)
Whales
1
F
fqy2026🥇
Entry 46¢·1,730.6 shares
$-30INV $791 · WR 56.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 5% YES: China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between…