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Geopolitics6 days left

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$15.1K
768 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 210 traders

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

9 MARKETS · $68.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs30 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$22+5 new NO$943
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $294 is directional: YES $216·NO $78
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-80.5%)
Whales
8
S
Subdued-PastaProven🥇
Entry 99¢·1,295.6 shares
$-1095INV $1.3K · WR 85.3%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·483.5 shares·also $123 on NO
$-362INV $435 · WR 56.6%
P
PonyY🥉
Entry 35¢·610 shares
$-119INV $213 · WR 73.9%
A
AnjunProven
Entry 35¢·111 shares
$-22INV $39 · WR 58.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 11¢·15.2 shares
+$1INV $2 · WR 83.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 11¢·8.1 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 75.8%
V
VKCz4DXpxMzc85GXxekG
Entry 16¢·5 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.7%
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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between…