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Geopolitics8 days left

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$25.6K
1,292 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 284 traders · 1 on both sides

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

9 MARKETS · $65.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs37 NO
28%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$416+15 new NO$208
$139 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $810 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $125·NO $681
YES Team
Total Invested
$203
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$96(+47.4%)
Whales
14
C
CryptoBilochka🥇
Entry 46¢·140 shares
+$35INV $64 · WR 59.1%
K
KimJonEn🥈
Entry 50¢·113.7 shares
+$26INV $57 · WR 74.2%
J
JaneEyre🥉
Entry 54¢·40 shares
+$7INV $22 · WR 55.6%
M
Maximus374Proven
Entry 48¢·40 shares
+$10INV $19 · WR 72.9%
P
Pointed-Pomegranate
Entry 43¢·30 shares
+$9INV $13 · WR 72.8%
A
Affectionate-Mongerhedged
Entry 57¢·5.7 shares·also $2 on NO
+$1INV $3 · WR 79.1%
S
Subdued-PastaProven
Entry 40¢·7.5 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 85.5%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 36¢·8.1 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 56.5%
A
aska666
Entry 47¢·6 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 82.3%
V
VKCz4DXpxMzc85GXxekG
Entry 36¢·5.7 shares
+$2INV $2 · WR 55.7%
Showing top 10 of 14

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 28% YES: China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between…