PoliticsResolved
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$92.3K
2,977 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 561 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs27 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$1 of $3 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+21.5%)
Whales
33
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·4,209.6 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$605
+$605INV $3.6K · WR 74.6%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven🥈
Entry 61¢·2,503.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$961
+$961INV $1.5K · WR 70.2%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 91¢·1,421 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $1.3K · WR 55.0%
M
Michael5289
Entry 100¢·869.8 shares
Invested
$869
Win Rate
95.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $869 · WR 95.0%
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven
Entry 86¢·500 shares
Invested
$432
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $432 · WR 79.5%
P
polpolmeow
Entry 91¢·392.1 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $358 · WR 88.0%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 77¢·373 shares
Invested
$288
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $288 · WR 60.9%
S
seaviewablue
Entry 100¢·198 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $197 · WR 87.1%
A
albert.00
Entry 85¢·117.6 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $100 · WR 69.0%
E
ED99999
Entry 85¢·86 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $73 · WR 73.6%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-95.9%)
Whales
27
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 31¢·4,195.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1270
$-1270INV $1.3K · WR 63.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 21¢·1,335 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-275
$-275INV $281 · WR 87.7%
A
Anon321321🥉
Entry 44¢·262.7 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $115 · WR 86.3%
K
korda77
Entry 21¢·554 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $115 · WR 85.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 32¢·300 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $96 · WR 70.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 28¢·287.6 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $79 · WR 72.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 52¢·116 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 21¢·150 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $32 · WR 79.6%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 51¢·60 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $31 · WR 84.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 38¢·73 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 75.8%
Showing top 10 of 27
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