PoliticsResolved
Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$11.5K
474 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 148 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs19 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $293 is directional: YES $172·NO $121YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+81.1%)
Whales
12
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 50¢·1,439.7 shares
Invested
$714
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$725
+$725INV $714 · WR 56.4%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥈
Entry 57¢·692.3 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$298
+$298INV $395 · WR 55.0%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥉
Entry 70¢·402.6 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $284 · WR 73.2%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 50¢·337.7 shares·also $290 on NO
Invested
$169
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $169 · WR 67.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 65¢·255.4 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $166 · WR 62.5%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 49¢·300 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $147 · WR 57.9%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 66¢·139.8 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $92 · WR 63.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 61¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 68.2%
7
0x715728b2...
Entry 59¢·12 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 56.4%
H
hamid1919
Entry 65¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$950
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$890(-93.7%)
Whales
19
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·337.7 shares·also $169 on YES
Invested
$290
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-290
$-290INV $290 · WR 67.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 43¢·283 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $121 · WR 55.3%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $85 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 38¢·170 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 38¢·160 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 40¢·150 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 44¢·92.8 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 87.7%
Q
Quirky-Timber-Reform
Entry 50¢·72 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 92.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 38¢·73.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 19
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