PoliticsResolved
Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.9K
359 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 119 traders
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs19 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $218 is directional: YES $214·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$449
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$403(-89.8%)
Whales
4
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇
Entry 33¢·654.7 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $214 · WR 67.3%
K
KiernanMeister🥈hedged
Entry 41¢·346.8 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$142
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $142 · WR 63.4%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·87 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 57.9%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 139¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 60.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$781
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$765(+98.1%)
Whales
19
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 48¢·268.4 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $130 · WR 79.6%
K
KiernanMeister🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·200 shares·also $142 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $120 · WR 63.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·232.7 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $116 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 58¢·180 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $105 · WR 89.0%
Q
Quirky-Timber-Reform
Entry 64¢·109 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $69 · WR 92.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 58¢·70 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $41 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 86.0%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3hedged
Entry 35¢·113.3 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $40 · WR 57.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·68.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $34 · WR 69.2%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 61¢·32 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $20 · WR 85.3%
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