22 days left

Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

63¢

63% implied

NO Price

37¢

37% implied

Volume

$835

45 trades

Smart Whales

of 33 traders

AP calls the House by...?

6 MARKETS · $3.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

by November 3, 11:59 PM

17¢+16¢$3801/2

by November 3, 11:59 PM+16¢17¢

$3801/2

by November 4, 11:59 PM←

63¢−38¢$8351/3

by November 4, 11:59 PM←−38¢63¢

$8351/3

by November 5, 11:59 PM

93¢−60¢$6301/2

by November 5, 11:59 PM−60¢93¢

$6301/2

by November 6, 11:59 PM

91¢−8¢$1.0K5/1

by November 6, 11:59 PM−8¢91¢

$1.0K5/1

by November 15, 11:59 PM

98¢+2¢$4982/0

by November 15, 11:59 PM+2¢98¢

$4982/0

by November 30, 11:59 PM

98¢+2¢$852/0

by November 30, 11:59 PM+2¢98¢

$852/0

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges

+12 new YES$275+28 new NO$559

$54 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $90 is directional: YES $90·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$90

Avg Win Rate

82.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$13(-14.2%)

Whales

$-13INV $90 · WR 82.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$167

Avg Win Rate

60.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$30(-17.9%)

Whales

sasha585🥇

Entry 52¢·246.4 shares

$-36INV $129 · WR 61.2%

+$14INV $24 · WR 55.6%

$-7INV $15 · WR 57.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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