Tech/AIResolved
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
YES Price
100ยข
100% implied
NO Price
0ยข
0% implied
Volume
$13.7K
135 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 50 traders
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs6 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $49 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $49YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$347(+31.4%)
Whales
9
H
Hakei.๐ฅ
Entry 90ยขยท630.3 shares
Invested
$567
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $567 ยท WR 71.7%
C
CAGKaLeung๐ฅhedged
Entry 72ยขยท566 sharesยทalso $142 on NO
Invested
$408
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $408 ยท WR 84.0%
M
mentapol๐ฅ
Entry 82ยขยท120 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $98 ยท WR 82.4%
T
T855
Entry 21ยขยท89 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $18 ยท WR 70.8%
H
hitfar
Entry 44ยขยท14 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $6 ยท WR 57.5%
W
wish-hedged
Entry 20ยขยท25 sharesยทalso $95 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $5 ยท WR 84.0%
C
Cold-Piano
Entry 68ยขยท2.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 ยท WR 71.4%
W
Worldly-Percentage
Entry 19ยขยท2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 ยท WR 69.6%
I
Ironveinhedged
Entry 15ยขยท2.2 sharesยทalso $0 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 ยท WR 73.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$289
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$289(-100.0%)
Whales
6
C
CAGKaLeung๐ฅhedged
Entry 25ยขยท566 sharesยทalso $408 on YES
Invested
$142
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $142 ยท WR 84.0%
W
wish-๐ฅhedged
Entry 381ยขยท25 sharesยทalso $5 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $95 ยท WR 84.0%
C
Contentious-DinnerdateโProven๐ฅ
Entry 32ยขยท149.9 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 ยท WR 56.0%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 18ยขยท14 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 ยท WR 66.8%
F
foxer78
Entry 47ยขยท1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 66.6%
I
Ironveinhedged
Entry 11ยขยท2.2 sharesยทalso $0 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 ยท WR 73.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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