Tech/AIResolved
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.5K
534 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 167 traders
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs14 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $229 is directional: YES $229·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$898
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$601(+66.9%)
Whales
21
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 58¢·573.2 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $335 · WR 63.6%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·262.1 shares·also $160 on NO
Invested
$131
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $131 · WR 67.1%
C
Conscious-Belligerency🥉hedged
Entry 44¢·236.5 shares·also $318 on NO
Invested
$105
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $105 · WR 69.4%
D
0xdf50b0d8...
Entry 98¢·97.2 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $95 · WR 93.0%
C
chaosj88◆Proven
Entry 60¢·149.4 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $89 · WR 86.4%
B
bmtr
Entry 62¢·100 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $62 · WR 63.5%
L
Laura53125
Entry 98¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $49 · WR 81.1%
S
Spherical-Fringehedged
Entry 109¢·8.1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 65.5%
P
piggyramen
Entry 76¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 55.7%
Z
ziy1ing94
Entry 94¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 86.4%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$696
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$694(-99.8%)
Whales
14
C
Conscious-Belligerency🥇hedged
Entry 135¢·236.5 shares·also $105 on YES
Invested
$318
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $318 · WR 69.4%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥈hedged
Entry 359¢·44.5 shares·also $131 on YES
Invested
$160
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $160 · WR 67.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 18¢·338.1 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 48¢·92 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 31¢·94.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 36¢·70 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 87.7%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 50¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 80.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 25¢·50 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 72.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 42¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
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