Tech/AIResolved
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$19.0K
791 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 192 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs24 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $708 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $707·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.5K(+62.3%)
Whales
21
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥇
Entry 66¢·2,193.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$740
+$740INV $1.5K · WR 67.1%
A
Ayanokoji67🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·1,653.2 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$510
+$510INV $1.1K · WR 75.6%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 70¢·376.8 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $264 · WR 63.6%
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
Entry 87¢·303.8 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $264 · WR 85.6%
B
bmtr
Entry 32¢·581.5 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$396
+$396INV $185 · WR 63.5%
S
Serpentine-Majority◆Proven
Entry 86¢·173.8 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $149 · WR 79.1%
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven
Entry 26¢·486.2 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$357
+$357INV $129 · WR 69.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 91¢·131.7 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $119 · WR 55.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 93¢·110.8 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $103 · WR 57.7%
G
gambler925
Entry 35¢·151.5 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $53 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.5K(-93.6%)
Whales
24
A
Ayanokoji67🥇hedged
Entry 130¢·1,490.8 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-1945
$-1945INV $1.9K · WR 75.6%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·820 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-410
$-410INV $410 · WR 63.4%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 54¢·445.9 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $241 · WR 85.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·395.4 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-199
$-199INV $199 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 67¢·210.2 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $142 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 60¢·201.9 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $121 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·219.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $114 · WR 87.7%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 73¢·152 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $111 · WR 55.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 26¢·280 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 72.2%
K
korda77
Entry 74¢·95 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 24
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