Tech/AI19 days left
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$13.6K
586 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 151 traders
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
21 MARKETS · $29.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$3553/7Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$3553/7
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+42¢$4105/7Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+42¢0¢
$4105/7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026←
87¢−48¢$13.6K11/17Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026←−48¢87¢
$13.6K11/17
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$3954/8Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$3954/8
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$3633/6Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$3633/6
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+31¢$8424/9Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+31¢0¢
$8424/9
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
3¢+18¢$1.5K4/15Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+18¢3¢
$1.5K4/15
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+44¢$3644/5Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+44¢0¢
$3644/5
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
1¢+22¢$1.1K3/10Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+22¢1¢
$1.1K3/10
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$4263/7Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$4263/7
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+25¢$4943/9Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+25¢0¢
$4943/9
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$6124/8Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$6124/8
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$3103/7Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$3103/7
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+27¢$4993/8Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+27¢0¢
$4993/8
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
10¢+7¢$4.8K4/19Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+7¢10¢
$4.8K4/19
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+14¢$1.6K2/12Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+14¢0¢
$1.6K2/12
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$3343/7Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$3343/7
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$2973/7Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$2973/7
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026
0¢+25¢$4543/9Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026+25¢0¢
$4543/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs17 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$38+3 new NO$6
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $700 is directional: YES $677·NO $23YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$739(+46.8%)
Whales
11
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 51¢·1,665.9 shares
Invested
$841
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$608
+$608INV $841 · WR 63.4%
6
0x6dd781c0...🥈
Entry 83¢·365.1 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $304 · WR 75.0%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥉
Entry 80¢·232.9 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $186 · WR 67.1%
S
shangqian
Entry 84¢·154.5 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $129 · WR 92.9%
J
jjjjjsdahedged
Entry 48¢·99 shares·also $73 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $48 · WR 68.6%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 43¢·67.4 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $29 · WR 63.6%
S
Spherical-Fringe◆Proven
Entry 82¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 65.5%
W
weshmaggle
Entry 60¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 60.0%
F
FlightRadar
Entry 61¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 63.4%
L
Lavish-Jiffy
Entry 89¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
93.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 93.3%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$382
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$236(-61.7%)
Whales
17
J
jjjjjsda🥇hedged
Entry 60¢·122.6 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $73 · WR 68.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 36¢·180.4 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $66 · WR 89.0%
M
merod🥉
Entry 32¢·161 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $52 · WR 84.1%
K
korda77
Entry 23¢·99 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $23 · WR 85.2%
T
Tee1000
Entry 36¢·60 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $22 · WR 81.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $20 · WR 85.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 39¢·50 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 41¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $19 · WR 79.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 34¢·45 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $15 · WR 84.9%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 87¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 82.0%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 245ms