Resolved

Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$48.8K
1,279 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 278 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs45 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$84 of $5.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.6K·NO $291

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: AfD win the third-most seats…