Resolved80 days left
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$46.1K
1,644 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 263 traders
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs53 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-66.3%)
Whales
21
R
Railcool🥇
Entry 12¢·7,621.9 shares
Invested
$889
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-889
$-889INV $889 · WR 58.7%
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·617.6 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 63.1%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·601.7 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 65.8%
R
randomWalkingShrimp◆Proven
Entry 16¢·300 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $47 · WR 77.0%
H
hochnaesigezicke
Entry 9¢·461.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $40 · WR 56.2%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 9¢·280.1 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $24 · WR 56.8%
F
Frequent-Underground-Bureau
Entry 19¢·24.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 59.3%
M
ms1910
Entry 9¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 57.9%
T
Touge
Entry 3¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.9%
C
0xc26a4d4a...
Entry 16¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.0%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.5K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.7K(+55.9%)
Whales
53
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 52¢·5,162.5 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2493
+$2493INV $2.7K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 51¢·3,953.4 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1936
+$1936INV $2.0K · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 51¢·2,457.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1198
+$1198INV $1.3K · WR 79.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 84¢·1,476.3 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $1.2K · WR 65.8%
N
Noname333◆Proven
Entry 96¢·1,045.5 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1000 · WR 76.1%
K
korda77
Entry 52¢·1,161 shares
Invested
$605
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$556
+$556INV $605 · WR 85.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·1,077.3 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$481
+$481INV $596 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 57¢·1,019.6 shares
Invested
$580
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$439
+$439INV $580 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 85¢·643.2 shares
Invested
$549
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $549 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·877 shares
Invested
$438
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$438
+$438INV $438 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 53
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