PoliticsResolved
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.0K
159 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 65 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs12 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $509 is directional: YES $22·NO $487YES Team
Total Invested
$674
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$670(-99.4%)
Whales
6
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 50¢·1,202 shares
Invested
$601
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-601
$-601INV $601 · WR 71.6%
G
G.Hchen🥈hedged
Entry 108¢·47 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$51
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $51 · WR 56.9%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 29¢·50 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 61.7%
D
Dutchland
Entry 10¢·49.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 67.1%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 7¢·24.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 61.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 11¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 82.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$508(+21.8%)
Whales
12
S
Snoorrason◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$365
+$365INV $1.6K · WR 72.5%
S
SuAlteza🥈
Entry 90¢·300 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $270 · WR 87.2%
G
GamGanapati🥉
Entry 90¢·170 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $154 · WR 71.0%
G
G.Hchenhedged
Entry 148¢·47 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $70 · WR 56.9%
R
rednaxela1
Entry 87¢·60 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $52 · WR 64.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 45¢·89.9 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $41 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $35 · WR 86.0%
6
0x60379060...
Entry 61¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $28 · WR 82.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 60¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 66.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $11 · WR 79.2%
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