Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$11.2K
560 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 158 traders
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
2 MARKETS · $28.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs39 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+5 new YES$595+4 new NO$1
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $177YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$105(+3.1%)
Whales
18
C
Compound-57🥇
Entry 95¢·1,503.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.4K · WR 73.4%
K
KiernanMeister🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·729.9 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$673
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $673 · WR 63.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 240¢·214.9 shares·also $118 on NO
Invested
$516
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-303
$-303INV $516 · WR 55.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 83¢·268.6 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$222
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $222 · WR 65.8%
T
Tokyo.is.hot◆Proven
Entry 98¢·204.3 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $200 · WR 82.2%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 51¢·376.1 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $192 · WR 56.4%
J
James-Talarico
Entry 53¢·170.2 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $90 · WR 81.9%
B
bacs2000hedged
Entry 45¢·69.8 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $31 · WR 62.2%
D
0xd6fdc65d...
Entry 99¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 90.8%
G
Glicha
Entry 100¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-87.6%)
Whales
39
K
KiernanMeister🥇hedged
Entry 198¢·659 shares·also $673 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1295
$-1295INV $1.3K · WR 63.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 25¢·684.8 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-165
$-165INV $172 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 48¢·265 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $127 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·244.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $122 · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 26¢·454.9 shares·also $516 on YES
Invested
$118
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $118 · WR 55.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 73¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $104 · WR 70.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 19¢·455 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $85 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 75¢·92 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $69 · WR 79.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 25¢·268.6 shares·also $222 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $66 · WR 65.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·122 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $61 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 39
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