GeopoliticsResolved
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$11.8K
200 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 95 traders
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $72 is directional: YES $9·NO $62YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-96.9%)
Whales
3
V
Vibrant-Dragonfly🥇
Entry 8¢·110 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 79.2%
W
Whimsical-Pawnshop🥈hedged
Entry 0¢·312 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 94.4%
L
LMBY🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·10 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 94.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+41.4%)
Whales
12
L
Lisbon🥇
Entry 92¢·2,952 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
+$246
+$246INV $2.7K · WR 91.9%
R
Roro22◆Proven🥈
Entry 48¢·2,602.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1343
+$1343INV $1.3K · WR 74.9%
V
vozomnil🥉
Entry 76¢·335.1 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $256 · WR 74.7%
K
Kathy772
Entry 100¢·113.2 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $113 · WR 94.7%
R
RileyQuinnz
Entry 50¢·126.3 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $63 · WR 81.3%
L
Lillyl8
Entry 100¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $62 · WR 94.7%
6
666688888
Entry 96¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 74.1%
O
ourdemocracy
Entry 98¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $49 · WR 81.8%
C
cookedquail
Entry 50¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $13 · WR 59.3%
L
LMBYhedged
Entry 99¢·10 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 94.0%
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