106 days left
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$8.8K
476 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 146 traders
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
5 MARKETS · $25.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years
5¢+16¢$9.7K3/11Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years+16¢5¢
$9.7K3/11
Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years
9¢−9¢$4320/9Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years−9¢9¢
$4320/9
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years←
27¢−2¢$8.8K3/9Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years←−2¢27¢
$8.8K3/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$17+3 new NO$42
$24 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $976 is directional: YES $292·NO $684YES Team
Total Invested
$292
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-3.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$864
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$478(+55.3%)
Whales
9
D
drakelong🥇
Entry 48¢·1,425.7 shares
Invested
$684
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$357
+$357INV $684 · WR 70.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·218 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $109 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $40 · WR 86.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 34¢·40 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $14 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 31¢·21 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $7 · WR 89.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 83.5%
M
merod
Entry 12¢·35 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $4 · WR 84.1%
B
beatrix99
Entry 30¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 81.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 32¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 85.9%
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